South Florida
W-L: (42-18) PR = 93.4431Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 1- 5 206 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 0- 4 207 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 12- 4 207 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 10- 0 208 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1- 6 210 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 7- 0 210 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 8- 0 212 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 4- 2 213 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 2- 7 213 H Yale IVY ( 2- 5, 87.4) 5- 0 214 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 5- 4 215 H DePaul BE ( 1- 5, 90.6) 2- 1 218 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 3 218 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 8- 5 219 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 6- 2 220 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 3- 1 221 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 7- 1 222 H Colgate PAT ( 1- 8, 86.0) 6- 0 222 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 5-10 223 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-11 227 H Kent State MA ( 0- 4, 86.6) 10- 2 227 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 228 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 228 H St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 2 301 A Kent State MA ( 0- 4, 86.6) 9- 0 301 A Kent State MA ( 0- 4, 86.6) 9- 0 306 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 9- 4 306 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 12- 3 308 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 5- 2 313 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 6- 2 313 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 1 314 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 7- 2 318 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 320 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 6- 4 321 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 0-15 322 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 2- 3 327 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 4- 0 328 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 3-11 329 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 6- 3 402 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 1 403 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 6- 9 403 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 5- 1 408 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 1- 4 410 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 411 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 4- 3 412 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1- 0 417 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 0- 1 418 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 1- 2 419 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 3- 1 422 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 0 424 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 0 425 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 3- 0 426 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 14- 7 430 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 5- 2 501 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2- 1 502 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 3 515 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 3- 1 516 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 1- 9 516 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 6- 4 517 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Illinois State 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.41
206 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.43
207 H Kansas 12- 4 8 -1 +++ 9.01
207 H Bethune-Cookman 10- 0 10 7 + 2.68
208 H Florida 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.49
210 H Delaware 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.26
210 H Delaware 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.26
212 H Indiana State 4- 2 2 6 - -3.89
213 H Kansas 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.99
213 H Yale 5- 0 5 7 -1.81
214 H Boston College 5- 4 1 4 - -2.78
215 H DePaul 2- 1 1 4 - -2.61
218 H Stetson 4- 3 1 3 -1.68
218 H Stetson 8- 5 3 3 0.32
219 H Saint Joseph's 6- 2 4 5 -0.64
220 H Marist 3- 1 2 5 - -2.89
221 H Boston College 7- 1 6 4 + 2.22
222 H Colgate 6- 0 6 8 - -2.20
222 A Houston 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.59
223 H Indiana 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.95
227 H Kent State 10- 2 8 8 0.43
227 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.56
228 A Alabama 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.56
228 H St. Thomas-Minnesota 1- 2 -1 -2 1.11
301 A Kent State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.92
301 A Kent State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.92
306 A Memphis 9- 4 5 3 1.76
306 A Memphis 12- 3 9 3 ++ 5.76
308 A Memphis 5- 2 3 3 -0.24
313 H Charlotte 6- 2 4 2 + 2.12
313 H Charlotte 3- 1 2 2 0.12
314 H Charlotte 7- 2 5 2 + 3.12
318 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.96
320 A Tulsa 6- 4 2 1 1.14
321 A Tulsa 0-15 -15 1 --- -14.86
322 A Tulsa 2- 3 -1 1 -1.86
327 A UTSA 4- 0 4 2 1.65
328 A Stanford 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.37
329 H Wichita State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.47
402 A UTSA 3- 1 2 2 -0.35
403 A UTSA 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.35
403 A UTSA 5- 1 4 2 1.65
408 A Florida 1- 4 -3 -5 1.99
410 H Florida Atlantic 3- 2 1 0 1.47
411 H Florida Atlantic 4- 3 1 0 1.47
418 A East Carolina 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.42
419 A East Carolina 3- 1 2 1 0.58
422 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.47
424 A UAB 5- 0 5 1 + 3.77
425 H Illinois 3- 0 3 4 -1.18
426 H Liberty 14- 7 7 2 ++ 5.18
430 A Memphis 5- 2 3 3 -0.24
501 H North Texas 2- 1 1 2 -0.73
502 H North Texas 5- 3 2 2 0.27
515 A Washington 3- 1 2 -4 +++ 6.04
516 H Arkansas 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.52
516 H Washington 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.56
517 A Arkansas 2-10 -8 -7 -1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Illinois State 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.41 222 A Houston 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.59 223 H Indiana 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.95 321 A Tulsa 0-15 -15 1 --- -14.86 328 A Stanford 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.37 403 A UTSA 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.35 206 H Michigan 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.43 212 H Indiana State 4- 2 2 6 - -3.89 213 H Kansas 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.99 214 H Boston College 5- 4 1 4 - -2.78 215 H DePaul 2- 1 1 4 - -2.61 220 H Marist 3- 1 2 5 - -2.89 222 H Colgate 6- 0 6 8 - -2.20 418 A East Carolina 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.42 516 H Arkansas 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Kansas 12- 4 8 -1 +++ 9.01 515 A Washington 3- 1 2 -4 +++ 6.04 210 H Delaware 7- 0 7 3 ++ 4.26 210 H Delaware 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.26 306 A Memphis 12- 3 9 3 ++ 5.76 318 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.96 422 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.47 426 H Liberty 14- 7 7 2 ++ 5.18 516 H Washington 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.56 207 H Bethune-Cookman 10- 0 10 7 + 2.68 221 H Boston College 7- 1 6 4 + 2.22 301 A Kent State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.92 301 A Kent State 9- 0 9 6 + 2.92 313 H Charlotte 6- 2 4 2 + 2.12 314 H Charlotte 7- 2 5 2 + 3.12 329 H Wichita State 6- 3 3 0 + 3.47 424 A UAB 5- 0 5 1 + 3.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 1- 5 -8.12 11.25 -0.74 0.42 -1.86
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 0- 4 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.42 -1.24
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 12- 4 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.42 11.69
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 10- 0 -13.04 6.33 -0.74 0.42 4.70
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1- 6 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 -0.62
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 7- 0 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.42 8.55
3 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 8- 0 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.42 8.55
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 4- 2 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.42 5.90
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 2- 7 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.42 -1.14
3 H Yale ( 2- 5, 87.4) 5- 0 -12.53 6.84 -0.74 0.42 5.13
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 5- 4 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.42 7.68
3 H DePaul ( 1- 5, 90.6) 2- 1 -9.32 10.05 -0.74 0.42 7.82
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 3 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.42 8.60
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 8- 5 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.42 8.60
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 6- 2 -10.36 9.01 -0.74 0.42 6.95
3 H Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 3- 1 -10.60 8.77 -0.74 0.42 6.74
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 7- 1 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.42 7.68
3 H Colgate ( 1- 8, 86.0) 6- 0 -13.92 5.45 -0.74 0.42 3.96
3 A Houston (20-30, 91.1) 5-10 -8.79 10.58 0.74 0.42 -1.69
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1-11 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.42 -0.93
3 H Kent State ( 0- 4, 86.6) 10- 2 -13.28 6.09 -0.74 0.42 4.49
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 -0.00
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 -0.00
3 H St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 1- 2 -3.61 15.76 -0.74 0.42 -0.91
3 A Kent State ( 0- 4, 86.6) 9- 0 -13.28 6.09 0.74 0.42 5.74
3 A Kent State ( 0- 4, 86.6) 9- 0 -13.28 6.09 0.74 0.42 5.74
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 9- 4 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.42 8.13
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 12- 3 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.42 8.13
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 5- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.42 8.13
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 6- 2 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.42 9.27
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 3- 1 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.42 9.27
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 7- 2 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.42 9.27
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 1 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.42 8.29
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 6- 4 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 10.12
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 0-15 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 -1.54
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 2- 3 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 -1.54
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 4- 0 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.42 8.88
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 3-11 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.42 -0.59
3 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 6- 3 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.42 11.24
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 3- 1 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.42 8.88
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 6- 9 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.42 -1.85
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 5- 1 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.42 8.88
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 1- 4 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.42 -0.31
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.42 11.25
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.42 11.25
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1- 0 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.42 11.25
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 0- 1 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.42 -1.65
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 1- 2 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.42 -1.65
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 3- 1 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.42 9.66
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 0 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.42 7.04
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 0 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.42 9.81
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 3- 0 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.42 7.33
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 14- 7 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.42 9.32
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 5- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.42 8.13
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 2- 1 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.42 9.40
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 5- 3 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.42 9.40
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.42 14.24
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 1- 9 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.42 -0.20
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 6- 4 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.42 13.00
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.42 -0.11
------
340.17
|
winning pts = 358.0167 losing points = -17.8490
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------